Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.330026 0.383728 0.440319 0.504111 0.573736 0.647150 0.730140
2025-01-05 0.248691 0.321093 0.402384 0.499260 0.610432 0.732953 0.877122
2025-01-12 0.192070 0.274980 0.373866 0.497750 0.646136 0.815688 1.021593
2025-01-19 0.155214 0.245431 0.359249 0.508265 0.693322 0.911078 1.182180
2025-01-26 0.128981 0.224435 0.351333 0.524107 0.745400 1.012214 1.351137
2025-02-02 0.108177 0.206900 0.344889 0.539617 0.795938 1.111541 1.519299
2025-02-09 0.085965 0.183095 0.326552 0.536774 0.821302 1.179014 1.648886
2025-02-16 0.071429 0.168271 0.318617 0.546244 0.861616 1.264951 1.801872
2025-02-23 0.056828 0.150254 0.303511 0.543705 0.884582 1.328118 1.926422
2025-03-02 0.041480 0.127115 0.277384 0.522570 0.880103 1.354252 2.003121
2025-03-09 0.033795 0.116832 0.270409 0.528627 0.912627 1.428800 2.142319
2025-03-16 0.025193 0.102012 0.253754 0.518216 0.920601 1.469908 2.237907
2025-03-23 0.021830 0.098656 0.257195 0.539902 0.976216 1.577509 2.424006
2025-03-30 0.016706 0.089037 0.247938 0.540385 1.000486 1.642600 2.554810
2025-04-06 0.012680 0.080686 0.239881 0.541986 1.026008 1.709488 2.688634
2025-04-13 0.010259 0.076189 0.238801 0.554967 1.068701 1.800678 2.855977
2025-04-20 0.008555 0.073340 0.240677 0.572840 1.118991 1.902984 3.039208
2025-04-27 0.007063 0.070508 0.242179 0.589919 1.168226 2.004304 3.222039
2025-05-04 0.004929 0.063304 0.233004 0.587266 1.186285 2.061235 3.344673
2025-05-11 0.003746 0.059557 0.231142 0.597524 1.224651 2.147512 3.508185
2025-05-18 0.002446 0.053463 0.222711 0.594950 1.242163 2.203637 3.630427
2025-05-25 0.001153 0.044229 0.204591 0.572575 1.226561 2.210841 3.684401
2025-06-01 0.000720 0.041008 0.201598 0.579047 1.258007 2.287147 3.835209